Trilogy Polo Club: Home Prices & Market Trends
An MLS study of closed prices, price per square foot, market speed, negotiating conditions and same-home resales from the first recorded closings through July 2026.
Last Updated: August 4, 2026 | Time To Read: 20 minutes | Author: Mark Miller | Category: 55+
Trilogy at The Polo Club in Indio, California, does not have one interchangeable housing market. Its age-qualified and non-age-restricted neighborhoods include compact paired homes, detached residences, larger pool-and-casita properties and a small pre-Shea legacy pocket dating to the mid-2000s. The community median is useful context, but it can move simply because a different mix of those homes sold.
This study follows 502 cleaned, MLS-recorded closings totaling $298.7 million from April 29, 2015 through July 27, 2026. A verified transaction-type audit identifies 129 direct builder sales and 373 resales, allowing current resale conditions to be separated from Shea's development and closeout activity. Median price is the lead measure, supported by price per square foot, transaction count, reported MLS days on market, sale-to-final-list ratio, living-area bands and a high-confidence same-home resale test.
The result is a market record—not an appraisal of one property and not proof that a typical Polo Club home appreciated at the same rate as the annual median.
Key findings
The cleaned history contains 502 closings and $298,656,571 in recorded sales volume. The full-period median was $565,000 and $309.17 per square foot, but that eleven-year summary blends the community's launch, buildout, legacy homes, paired products and later resales.
2022 produced the highest completed-year median at $700,000. The median reset to $624,433 in 2023, recovered to $637,500 in 2024 and $662,950 in 2025, then measured $642,500 across 52 year-to-date closings through July 27, 2026.
In the latest equal resale comparison, closings increased 36.0% while the median price fell 1.3%. Median price per square foot fell 5.5%, and median MLS days on market increased from 49 to 65.5.
Negotiation was common: 59 of the latest 68 resales, or 86.8%, finished below the final MLS list price. Thirty-four of those 68 records had already reduced the final list price below the original ask.
A high-confidence repeat-sale test produced 76 consecutive same-property pairs across 62 properties with stable reported size and private-pool status. The full set had a 5.62% median nominal annualized change, but the 28 pairs resold during 2025–2026 had a lower 2.77% median annualized change. Timing and the market cycle mattered.
Primary CTA: Search all homes for sale in Trilogy Polo Club
Companion resource: Read the complete Trilogy Polo Club home buying study guide
How to read this study
Six guardrails matter. The figures are nominal and not adjusted for inflation. Annual medians compare different homes rather than tracking one property. The 2015 sample contains only seven closings, and 2026 is year to date. Verified builder sales are separated where that distinction changes interpretation, but private, off-market and unrecorded direct-builder transfers may still be absent. Builder options and reporting practices can distort days-on-market and sale-to-list measurements. MLS age-restriction flags conflict on repeated properties, so this report does not divide pricing into 55+ and all-ages categories without a separately verified parcel map.
One raw closed record was removed from the analytical cohort: 50800 Los Palos Road, a 1988 five-acre ranch compound that closed for $2.7 million. The listing was tagged with the Trilogy Polo Club subdivision in the MLS but reported no HOA and does not represent the community's normal residential product. Leaving it in would create a false 2026 high point of $1,000 per square foot.
The annual median answers a narrow question: what was the middle price among the cleaned Polo Club sales recorded in that year? It does not establish the value of a specific Aria, Affirm, Connect, Incantare or other plan after accounting for shared walls, lot position, pool, casita, solar terms, Club-transfer economics, condition and upgrades.
Table of contents
Interactive MLS history
Trilogy Polo Club Market Explorer
Separate verified builder closings from resales, then switch among five measures to see how price, activity and negotiating conditions changed.
Checked August 6, 2026 · Closed data through July 27, 2026 · 2026 is year to date
Choose transaction type
Showing 373 resales. Current cards use the exact July 28, 2025–July 27, 2026 window.
Choose annual measure
Annual median closed price
Resales only; verified direct builder transactions are removed.
Swipe horizontally to explore every year.
Read the cohort before the line. Builder closings and resales represent different products and sales processes. Hollow points contain fewer than 10 transactions. The 2015 and 2026 annual results are partial, and dollars are nominal.
Year-by-year Trilogy Polo Club sales
The underlying figures remain visible beneath the interactive explorer so that readers and search engines can inspect the series directly. Median price is emphasized over average price because the median is less sensitive to a small number of unusually expensive or inexpensive closings.
Swipe horizontally to view all annual measurements.
| Year | Cleaned Closings | Median Price | Median Price / Sq. Ft. | Median MLS DOM | Median Sale / Final List |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015* | 7 | $457,004 | $228.04 | 39 | 98.00% |
| 2016 | 13 | $429,200 | $225.36 | 83 | 100.00% |
| 2017 | 18 | $507,541 | $241.19 | 86.5 | 99.30% |
| 2018 | 23 | $509,500 | $281.20 | 71 | 99.50% |
| 2019 | 44 | $448,837 | $246.71 | 83 | 99.23% |
| 2020 | 63 | $454,990 | $249.05 | 80 | 99.01% |
| 2021 | 67 | $527,500 | $293.86 | 29 | 100.00% |
| 2022 | 43 | $700,000 | $369.61 | 37 | 100.00% |
| 2023 | 62 | $624,433 | $353.95 | 57 | 98.91% |
| 2024 | 48 | $637,500 | $369.32 | 44 | 97.69% |
| 2025 | 62 | $662,950 | $372.68 | 63 | 97.81% |
| 2026 YTD** | 52 | $642,500 | $350.93 | 57 | 97.52% |
* 2015 is a partial first year and contains only seven closings.
** 2026 covers January 1 through July 27 only.
The apparent decline from 2018 to 2019 is a useful warning against treating annual medians as a same-home price index. Trilogy Polo Club was still developing, and each year contains a different mix of legacy residences, compact paired homes, detached plans, builder contracts and resales.
Why builder closings need their own line
The raw New Construction field is blank in most historical records, but the listing brokerage, agent and remarks support a stronger manual classification. The cleaned history contains 129 verified direct builder transactions and 373 resales. The final verified Shea closeout closed on August 12, 2025.
The difference mattered most in 2025:
Swipe horizontally to compare 2025 sale types.
| 2025 Sale Type | Sales | Median Closed Price |
Median Price Per Sq. Ft. |
Median MLS DOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verified builder closeout | 10 | $599,995 | $348.57 | 93 |
| Resale | 52 | $689,000 | $382.09 | 59.5 |
| Combined annual result | 62 | $662,950 | $372.68 | 63 |
The builder group was not merely a different seller. It contained a different product and contract process, including compact closeout inventory, former models and builder pricing conventions. The annual table preserves every cleaned transaction, while the interactive explorer can switch among all closings, resales and verified builder sales. The current-period section below uses resales only.
The current market
The latest and prior periods use equal July 28–July 27 boundaries ending with the most recent recorded closing. Verified builder transactions are removed from both windows so the comparison describes resale conditions rather than the last Shea closeouts.
Swipe horizontally to compare both 12-month periods.
| Measure |
July 28, 2025– July 27, 2026 |
July 28, 2024– July 27, 2025 |
Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resale closings | 68 | 50 | +36.0% |
| Closed dollar volume | $46,935,000 | $36,100,790 | +30.0% |
| Median closed price | $663,500 | $672,500 | −1.3% |
| Price interquartile range | $548,750–$800,750 | $587,750–$799,750 | Wider below median |
| Median closed price / sq. ft. | $352.58 | $373.20 | −5.5% |
| Median reported living area | 1,919.5 sq. ft. | 1,872.5 sq. ft. | +2.5% |
| Median MLS DOM | 65.5 | 49 | +16.5 days |
| Median sale / final list | 97.52% | 97.39% | +0.13 points |
| Listings with a price reduction | 50.0% | 30.0% | +20.0 points |
Turnover accelerated sharply, but the supporting measures were softer. The latest resale median was 1.3% lower despite a larger median home size. Median price per square foot fell 5.5%, median marketing time increased by 16.5 days and the share of listings with a price reduction rose by 20 percentage points.
The distribution also widened below the midpoint. The lower quartile moved from $587,750 to $548,750, while the upper quartile remained almost unchanged near $800,000. Polo Club simultaneously produced more lower-tier compact sales and continued to close upper-tier pool and larger-plan properties.
Negotiating conditions reinforced the selective-market reading:
59 of 68 resales, or 86.8%, finished below the final MLS list price.
34 of 68 listings, or 50.0%, reduced the final list below the original asking price before closing.
63 of 68 resales, or 92.6%, finished below the original asking price.
Final list price may already reflect one or more reductions. The 97.52% median sale-to-final-list ratio therefore captures only the last step of the negotiation history. Much of the seller concession occurred before the accepted offer rather than at the final contract negotiation.
How marketing time changed the discount
The 118 resales recorded from July 30, 2024 through July 27, 2026 make that sequence clearer. Homes that took longer to sell were far more likely to reduce their asking price, but most of the added concession occurred before the final contract was negotiated. One apparent original-list-price entry error was excluded from original-ask calculations.
Swipe horizontally to compare marketing-time groups.
| Reported MLS DOM | Resales | Listings With a Price Cut | Median Discount From Original Ask | Median Discount From Final Ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–30 days | 25 | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| 31–60 days | 38 | 23.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| 61–90 days | 17 | 35.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| 91+ days | 38 | 86.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
Among homes that sold within 30 days, only one in 25 had a recorded price cut. Among homes taking at least 91 days, 33 of 38 had reduced their price, and the median sale was 8.8% below the original ask. Yet the median discount from the final list price differed by less than one percentage point between those two groups: 2.0% versus 2.9%.
That pattern does not mean time alone caused the discount; ambitious initial pricing, condition and property mix also matter. It does show why original-list history is essential. For long-market-time homes, the largest adjustment usually happened through public price reductions before the buyer and seller reached the final contract.
Where the latest closings landed
| Closed-Price Band | Sales | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Under $500,000 | 9 | 13.2% |
| $500,000–$699,999 | 31 | 45.6% |
| $700,000–$899,999 | 17 | 25.0% |
| $900,000 or more | 11 | 16.2% |
Nearly half of the latest resales landed between $500,000 and $699,999, but 28 sales—41.2% of the period—closed at $700,000 or more. The distribution is too broad for a single community median to serve as an offer target.
How home size changes the comparison
Reported living area is not a complete valuation model, but it is one of the cleanest consistent fields in the export. The latest 68 resales formed four visibly different price tiers.
Swipe horizontally to compare living-area groups.
| Reported Living Area | Sales | Median Closed Price | Median Price / Sq. Ft. | Median MLS DOM | Median Sale / Final List |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1,600 sq. ft. | 13 | $425,000 | $316.85 | 84 | 96.20% |
| 1,600–1,999 sq. ft. | 30 | $642,500 | $362.25 | 62 | 97.94% |
| 2,000–2,399 sq. ft. | 21 | $800,000 | $361.72 | 49 | 98.19% |
| 2,400 sq. ft. or more | 4 | $1,074,500 | $378.15 | 41 | 96.70% |
The smallest tier had the lowest median price and the longest marketing time. The 2,400-square-foot-plus result, however, is based on only four resales and should be treated as descriptive rather than predictive.
Price-per-square-foot softness also appeared within every size group when the latest period was compared with the prior 12 months:
Swipe horizontally to compare both periods.
| Reported Living Area | Latest Sales | Latest Median Price / Sq. Ft. | Prior Sales | Prior Median Price / Sq. Ft. | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1,600 sq. ft. | 13 | $316.85 | 10 | $369.86 | −14.3% |
| 1,600–1,999 sq. ft. | 30 | $362.25 | 22 | $364.17 | −0.5% |
| 2,000–2,399 sq. ft. | 21 | $361.72 | 13 | $382.37 | −5.4% |
| 2,400 sq. ft. or more | 4 | $378.15 | 5 | $443.19 | −14.7% |
All four directional comparisons were lower, but the largest-home samples are thin and every group still mixes floor plans, pools, lots, condition and solar arrangements. The table supports a broad softening interpretation; it does not prove a uniform decline for every home.
What private-pool sales show
The raw MLS pool checkbox is not usable for this comparison because many Pool = Yes records refer to the community pools. A stricter classification searched the structured feature fields for an explicitly private pool and treated records without that marker as having no verified private pool.
After removing 10 verified Shea closeout transactions, the recent 24-month resale sample contained 118 closings from July 30, 2024 through July 27, 2026. The difference was substantial:
Swipe horizontally to compare private-pool groups.
| Feature Classification |
Sales | Median Closed Price |
Median Price Per Sq. Ft. |
Median Living Area |
Median MLS DOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verified private pool | 38 | $892,500 | $419.78 | 2,250 sq. ft. | 43.5 |
| No private-pool marker | 80 | $612,500 | $348.99 | 1,847 sq. ft. | 68.5 |
Much of the total-price difference reflects the fact that pool homes were larger. The signal remained visible inside the 1,600–1,999-square-foot band, where both groups had the same 1,847-square-foot median size:
14 verified private-pool sales had a $764,000 median and $429.28 median price per square foot.
38 sales without a private-pool marker had a $632,500 median and $354.55 median price per square foot.
An exploratory log-price sensitivity model controlled for reported living area, lot size, sale date, build era, paired-home status and reported mountain and park views. It estimated a 17.7% private-pool association; bootstrap results landed roughly between 12.0% and 23.5%, while simpler size, lot and time specifications produced estimates near 21%–23%. Those ranges show that the relationship did not disappear after basic adjustment, but they are not a recommended appraisal adjustment.
This is meaningful association—not proof that adding a pool creates the entire price difference. Pool homes may also have stronger lots, better outdoor improvements, newer interiors, more favorable views and other features not fully controlled here. The comparison supports using a verified private-pool set when valuing a pool home; it does not support applying one universal pool adjustment.
For plan families, paired-home ownership details, the legacy pocket and the difference between age-qualified and non-age-restricted neighborhoods, use the Trilogy Polo Club home buying study guide.
Available, contingent and pending snapshot
As of the August 6, 2026 export, the file contained 25 records with an MLS status of active and one pending listing. A status-level and remarks audit found that six of those active records were already contingent, in escrow or explicitly seeking backup offers. That left 19 apparently available homes, six active-contingent or backup-offer homes and one pending listing. Asking inventory is kept separate from completed-sale evidence.
Swipe horizontally to view the full current-market snapshot.
| Status | Count | Median Asking Price |
Median Asking Per Sq. Ft. |
Median Living Area |
Median MLS DOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS-active and apparently available | 19 | $659,000 | $362.44 | 1,847 sq. ft. | 44 |
| MLS-active, contingent / backup | 6 | $597,450 | $368.03 | 1,775 sq. ft. | 73.5 |
| Pending | 1 | $749,000 | $316.43 | 2,367 sq. ft. | 38 |
The apparently available median asking price was 0.7% below the latest resale median, while asking price per square foot was 2.8% higher. That is not a contradiction: available inventory had a smaller median living area and represents seller expectations rather than completed negotiations.
A simple supply proxy—19 apparently available listings divided by the latest 68 resales and multiplied by 12—equals 3.4 months. It is not a formal historical months-supply series because the export supplies only one current inventory snapshot, and contingent or backup-offer records do not represent freely available supply.
Bloom's public search displayed 17 sale results on the same date. The two-count difference is explainable: compared with this 19-home available set, Bloom omitted three valid active listings imported from another MLS and displayed one listing whose remarks said it was already in escrow and seeking backup offers. IDX coverage and status mapping can therefore produce a different public count without making the underlying listings invalid.
The balance differed by price tier:
Swipe horizontally to compare supply by asking-price band.
| Asking-Price Band | Apparently Available |
Trailing Resales |
Approx. Months |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500,000 | 3 | 9 | 4.0 |
| $500,000–$699,999 | 8 | 31 | 3.1 |
| $700,000–$899,999 | 5 | 17 | 3.5 |
| $900,000 or more | 3 | 11 | 3.3 |
The $500,000–$699,999 band had the lowest simple supply estimate, while the under-$500,000 band had the highest. The counts are small, and these directional figures will change as listings enter, go contingent, close or leave the market.
Four phases in the recorded sales history
1. Early MLS history and small launch-era samples: 2015–2018
The first recorded close occurred on April 29, 2015. The annual samples began with only seven sales in 2015, 13 in 2016, 18 in 2017 and 23 in 2018. Those years contain builder-era reporting, changing plan availability and different stages of the community's development.
The median moved from $457,004 in partial-year 2015 to $429,200 in 2016, then increased to $507,541 in 2017 and $509,500 in 2018. Median price per square foot rose from $225.36 in 2016 to $281.20 in 2018. The samples document transactions, but they are not stable same-home benchmarks.
2. More MLS volume and a changing product mix: 2019–2020
Recorded closings increased to 44 in 2019 and 63 in 2020. Yet the annual median measured $448,837 and $454,990—below 2018—while median living area and the mix of compact, paired, detached, legacy and builder sales continued to change.
The important lesson is not that every Polo Club home lost value. It is that expanding transaction coverage and a changing product ladder can pull a community-wide median in a direction that does not describe any one plan.
3. Pandemic-era repricing: 2021–2022
The sharpest move in the series arrived from 2021 to 2022. The median increased 32.7%, from $527,500 to $700,000, while median price per square foot increased 25.8%, from $293.86 to $369.61.
Marketing conditions tightened at the same time. Median MLS days on market fell to 29 in 2021 and measured 37 in 2022, while the median sale-to-final-list ratio reached 100% in both years. Recorded volume fell from 67 closings in 2021 to 43 in 2022, but the homes that did close established a much higher price level.
4. Post-surge reset and a wider market: 2023–July 2026
The 2023 median fell 10.8% from the 2022 high to $624,433. It then recovered to $637,500 in 2024 and $662,950 in 2025. The 2025 median remained 5.3% below the 2022 peak, while 2025 median price per square foot was 0.8% above 2022. A smaller 2025 median home size helps explain why those two measures tell different stories.
The 2026 year-to-date median was $642,500 across 52 closings through July 27. Every one of those 2026 closings was classified as a resale, meaning the community had already matched the 52 resales recorded during all of 2025 after its 10 builder closeouts are separated. Because 2026 is still a partial calendar year, the equal trailing-period comparison remains the better pricing measure: much higher turnover accompanied by slightly lower headline pricing, lower price per square foot, longer marketing time and common negotiation.
What the same-home resales show
Annual medians have a composition problem. A year with more large pool homes can post a higher median even if comparable smaller homes changed very little. To move closer to a like-for-like test, the audit matched sequential sales using the same normalized street number and street name. It accepted an APN change when the address remained the same, rejected a shared APN when the addresses differed, required at least a one-year holding period, limited the set to records whose reported living area differed by no more than 2% and required private-pool status to remain unchanged.
That conservative method produced 76 high-confidence pairs across 62 properties:
Swipe horizontally to view all repeat-sale measurements.
| Repeat-Sale Cohort |
Pairs | Median Holding Period |
Median Total Change |
Median Annualized Change |
Higher / Lower / Flat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All qualifying pairs | 76 | 2.86 years | +18.9% | +5.62% | 66 / 8 / 2 |
| Pairs resold in 2025–2026 | 28 | 3.50 years | +8.7% | +2.77% | 21 / 6 / 1 |
The all-history result is boosted by homes that crossed the 2020–2022 repricing. The more recent subset provides a useful reality check: pairs resold during 2025–2026 had a lower 2.77% median nominal annualized change. Among 15 qualifying pairs resold in 2026 alone, the median was +5.1% total across 3.18 years, or +2.16% annualized; 11 sold higher, three lower and one flat.
This is stronger evidence than comparing annual community averages, but it is not a formal repeat-sales index. The test does not control for renovation, unreported pool work or classification errors, lot or view differences, furnishings, solar obligations, Club-transfer economics, distress, seller concessions, financing, transaction expenses or inflation. It also excludes homes that did not resell through the MLS.
The defensible conclusion is modest: same-home outcomes were usually positive across the full record, but recent gains were smaller and several homes resold lower or flat. These figures describe gross price change, not net investment return after improvements and selling costs.
What this report deliberately does not claim
A clean 55+ versus all-ages price difference
The MLS Senior Community field changes between repeated listings for the same property, and some records marked “No” describe the home as age-qualified in the remarks. The individual property's recorded age status matters, but this export alone is not reliable enough to create a price filter without a verified parcel map.
A historical private-pool premium from the raw pool field
The general MLS pool checkbox frequently refers to community-pool access rather than a private backyard pool. A raw Pool = Yes comparison would therefore misclassify homes and overstate confidence. The recent comparison above uses stricter feature tokens and a size-band check, but it still reports association rather than a universal causal premium.
A builder-versus-resale split from the raw construction field alone
Nearly three-quarters of the closed records leave the New Construction field blank. The 129-sale builder classification therefore uses verified listing brokerage, agent and closeout evidence rather than that checkbox alone. Early DOM and sale-to-list figures may still reflect builder contract timing, upgrades and option packages rather than ordinary resale exposure.
Historical HOA or Club dues from MLS fields
The historical association-fee field sometimes combines HOA and optional Club charges and sometimes reports only one layer. It should not be used as a dues history. Current ownership costs belong in the Trilogy Polo Club home buying study guide, where HOA and Club economics can be verified separately.
What the data mean for buyers and sellers
For buyers
The community median is a market marker, not an offer price. A stronger comparison begins with the same floor plan or a narrow living-area band, then accounts for attached versus detached format, legacy versus Shea construction, condition, lot position, pool, casita, view, solar terms, Club-transfer eligibility and furnishings.
Listing history deserves particular attention in the current market. With 86.8% of the latest resales below final list and half of those listings reduced before sale, the original ask, reduction history and time exposed to the market are more informative than the final list price alone.
The compact-home tier also behaved differently. Homes below 1,600 square feet recorded an 84-day median marketing time and a 96.20% median sale-to-final-list ratio in the latest period. That does not establish a universal discount, but it shows why paired and compact products need their own comparison set.
For sellers
The apparently available median asking price sat 0.7% below the latest resale median, but asking price per square foot was 2.8% higher. Pricing from the highest active competitor can therefore build in an expectation that recent closings have not yet confirmed.
The strongest launch price comes from recent like-for-like sales. A pool, casita, larger garage, owned solar, premium yard or open-space setting may justify a narrower comparison set, but each feature needs evidence. The 2022 community median does not automatically establish a 2026 value for one property.
Historical context explains the market. Present comparables establish present value.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current median sale price in Trilogy Polo Club?
Across 68 cleaned resales from July 28, 2025 through July 27, 2026, the median closed price was $663,500. The median was $352.58 per square foot, the median reported home size was 1,919.5 square feet and median MLS days on market was 65.5.
Did Trilogy Polo Club prices fall after the 2022 peak?
The annual median fell 10.8% from $700,000 in 2022 to $624,433 in 2023, then recovered to $637,500 in 2024 and $662,950 in 2025. The 2026 year-to-date median was $642,500 through July 27. These annual figures compare different groups of homes and are not a same-home price index.
How much negotiating room did recent Polo Club buyers have?
The latest 68 resales had a 97.52% median sale-to-final-list ratio. Fifty-nine sales, or 86.8%, closed below the final list price, and 34 listings had reduced the final list below the original ask before closing. Individual outcomes still varied by property and competition.
Have the same Trilogy Polo Club homes appreciated when resold?
Among 76 high-confidence same-property pairs with stable reported size and private-pool status, the median nominal annualized change was +5.62%. The 28 pairs resold during 2025–2026 had a lower +2.77% median annualized change. Renovations, transaction costs and inflation were not controlled.
Does this file contain every Trilogy Polo Club sale?
No MLS export can prove that. Private, off-market, direct-builder and differently labeled transfers may be absent. This analysis describes cleaned, MLS-recorded transactions and does not claim to be a complete deed history.
Mark Miller | Real Estate Agent
I specialize in residential real estate throughout California’s Coachella Valley, with deep experience in lifestyle-driven, master-planned, and resort communities. I study local neighborhoods, builders, market activity, and long-term value to help buyers, sellers, and renters make informed decisions.
I am the sole owner and creator of Desert Oasis Insider and Bloom – Home Search Engine, two proprietary platforms built to explain Coachella Valley real estate with greater depth and clarity than generic real estate portals. I combine hyper-local research, market data, professional media, and firsthand community coverage to explain both the homes and the lifestyle behind each location.
With more than a decade of experience in communities such as Trilogy La Quinta and Trilogy at The Polo Club, my approach is precise, story-driven, data-informed, and focused on helping clients make confident decisions.
442-234-3325 | MarkMillerCA@gmail.com
Sources and methodology
MLS analysis
Source file: CDAR MLS export received August 6, 2026
Raw rows: 529 records across 120 fields
Raw statuses: 503 closed, 25 active and 1 pending
Closed-date span returned: April 29, 2015–July 27, 2026
Analytical cohort: 502 cleaned closed-sale records
Verified transaction types: 129 direct builder sales and 373 resales
Builder rule: 119 Shea Homes Marketing Company records plus 10 manually verified 2025 Shea closeouts listed by Chris Casas / Indian Springs Real Estate
Excluded false positive: MLS 219144699, 50800 Los Palos Road—a 1988 five-acre ranch compound with no reported HOA, incorrectly tagged with the Trilogy Polo Club subdivision for this analysis
Duplicate audit: no duplicate list number, no duplicate normalized address plus closed date and price, and no duplicate parcel plus closed date and price
Calculated price per square foot: closed price divided by reported living area
Calculated sale-to-final-list ratio: closed price divided by the final MLS list price
DOM rule: one negative-DOM record was treated as missing
Original-list rule: MLS 219116867 contains an apparent missing zero in the original list price and was excluded from original-list calculations unless corrected
Annual periods: calendar years; 2015 and 2026 are explicitly partial
Current comparison: resale closings only; July 28, 2025–July 27, 2026 versus July 28, 2024–July 27, 2025
Current inventory rule: all 25 MLS-active records were verified as Polo Club sale listings; five structured contingent records and one additional remarks-verified escrow/backup record were separated, leaving 19 apparently available homes
Repeat-sale subset: sequential sales at the same normalized street number and name, accepting APN changes for the same address and rejecting shared APNs across different addresses; at least one year apart, with reported living area within 2% and unchanged private-pool classification
Private-pool subset: July 30, 2024–July 27, 2026 resale closings after removing 10 verified Shea closeouts; a private pool required an explicit private-pool feature token rather than the general pool checkbox
Private-pool sensitivity model: log closed price modeled against private-pool status, living area, lot size, sale date, build era, paired-home status and listing-reported mountain and park views; the result is exploratory and not causal
Prices are nominal. The analysis does not adjust for inflation, concessions, furnishings, renovation, distress, financing costs, taxes, insurance, HOA obligations, Club costs or transaction expenses. Closed price is not net seller proceeds. MLS DOM is not necessarily cumulative exposure across every relist.
The export contains closed, active and pending records only. It does not contain the canceled, withdrawn and expired listings needed to calculate a failed-listing rate or a complete relist history. Financing is blank in 18.1% of closed records, concessions are blank in 46.9% and new-construction status is blank in 74.6%, so those fields were not used for broad conclusions.
Annual medians describe the homes recorded as sold in each period. They are not appraisals, forecasts or guarantees of future value.
Companion resources
MLS Data Disclosure
Based on information obtained from the California Desert Association of REALTORS® on August 6, 2026. The data, measurements, and area calculations presented in this report were compiled from multiple sources and have not been independently verified by the broker, real estate agent, or MLS. All information should be independently reviewed and confirmed for accuracy. Properties included in this analysis may or may not have been listed by the office or real estate agent presenting this report.